Farm income is projected to stagnate through 2030, with federal aid and trade uncertainty shaping the future for U.S. farmers ...

A fox, a hedgehog and an LLM – it sounds like the beginning of a joke, but this is in fact the introduction to a topic that is consuming the attention of Philip Tetlock, psychology professor, ...

Explore how prediction markets work, their types, real-world applications, and the benefits they offer in forecasting events ...

Your friend says to you: "I bet you $100 that in 2016 a Democrat will be elected as president of the USA." Would you take such a wager? Why or why not? You might think gambling is wrong. You might ...

Mathematicians may have a better way to measure agreement across different datasets. Agreement affects reproducibility, meta-analysis, and prediction to fill in missing data points. We need a more ...

Recently, my security team prevented a data breach—not by catching someone stealing data, but by predicting they would attempt it days before they actually tried. It wasn’t luck. We had something more ...