Treasury yield curve outlook: 3‑month T‑bill most likely 1–2% in 10 years; 2y/10y spread turns positive. See inversion odds and bank default risk.

If the 10-year Treasury yield reaches or exceeds 4.5%, it could be a challenge to the market, says BNY

Treasury yields moved higher on Wednesday as investors keenly awaited the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision.

As explained in Prof. Robert Jarrow’s book cited below, forward rates contain a risk premium above and beyond the market’s expectations for the 3-month forward rate. We document the size of that risk premium in this graph, which shows the zero-coupon ...

Treasury yields rose, reversing Wednesday’s declines, after new data showed that fewer-than-expected Americans filed new claims for unemployment benefits last week. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note was recently around 4.180%, according to ...

Treasury yields were mixed as bond markets react to President Trump’s nomination for the Fed buying up shorter-term Treasurys while selling off the longer end.

Treasury yields sit at the center of the US financial system. You see it reflected in how the federal government finances its debt, how fixed-income securities are priced, and how interest rates transmit across the economy. Movements in the US returns ...

U.S. Treasury yields climbed as renewed trade tensions and fiscal concerns rattled bond markets, pushing borrowing costs higher for households and businesses.

Treasury yields were retreating Thursday morning as investors assessed a report showing the U.S. inflation over the 12 months through November was cooler than Wall Street expected. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note was falling about 4 basis points to ...

0953 ET – Treasury yields are floating higher Friday morning, but trading has remained strictly range bound since early December as traders seek a direction. “Market participants remain focused on the prevailing trading range in U.S. rates and what ...