This post is part of the Health Affairs Forefront short series, “Value Assessment: Where Do We Go Post-COVID?” The series explores what we have learned about value assessment and related issues during ...

We make decisions every day, many of which are so straightforward that we hardly notice we are making them. But we tend to struggle when faced with decisions that have uncertain outcomes, such as ...

Based on years of walking alongside my patients through uncertainty, risk, and irreversible choices, I believe I understand what shared decision-making actually requires. At stake, in my opinion, is ...

Dr. Gary Klein is a cognitive psychologist and one of the world’s foremost experts on human decision making. I had the opportunity to talk with him recently about the present pandemic, and I asked him ...

Seems like everything these days is COVID-19. Recently the editor of the Journal of Business Forecasting asked me to write an article on demand planning under uncertainty.* Initially it sounded ...

Everyone talks about making business decisions based on numbers, data, and facts, including me. But what do you do when there aren’t hard facts and you have to make the best decision based on unclear ...

Professionals don’t experience uncertainty in decision making — as an amateur, I “knew” this. Before I worked in a medical center, I thought medicine was an exact science: Doctors were trained to ...

Humans possess a remarkable balance between stability and flexibility, enabling them to quickly establish new plans and adjust goals even in the face of sudden changes. However, "model-free ...

About this Course This course introduces Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty (DMDU), an innovative approach to planning and investing in long-lasting infrastructure in a changing world. It ...

Professionals don’t experience uncertainty in decision making — as an amateur, I “knew” this. Before I worked in a medical center, I thought medicine was an exact science: Doctors were trained to ...